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Wii U sales will only reach a third of Wii sales: analyst

Wii U salesWii U sales will only reach about a third of the Wii sales, according to game industry analysts. Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Connor recently said in an interview that the company expects Nintendo Wii U will sell only about “35% of the volume of the original Wii” during the first 14 month on the market. Connor cites two big reasons for “sales slump”: the Wii U specs, which he believes are unimpressive, and the competition from mobile gaming.

There’s no denying that mobile and casual gaming has hurt general console sales over the past few years, with more and more people opting for cheap games on their smartphones and tablets, rather than home consoles. While this trend is likely to continue in the foreseeable future, it doesn’t explain why the Nintendo 3DS, a mobile console, still managed to sell 15 million units in its first 12 months on the market. This is despite the onslaught of competition from iPhones, iPads, etc. The 3DS’ “Killer feature” is its 3D screen, and the Wii U controller, with its built in touchscreen, might be the same x-factor for the Wii U.

While the Wii U is unlikely to outsell the original Wii, which has sold some 95 million units to date, it’s much too early to write it off and estimate Wii U sales. The Wii U has several advantages over the competitors upcoming consoles, mainly, the new Wii U controller and the fact that it will have a full one year head start on the PlayStation 4 and Xbox 720.

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  • alienfish

    Who cares? Even if WiiU only sells 30 million consoles there will still be amazing games on it. It might even force Nintendo to stop releasing casual garbage and focus on being 100% awesome again.

  • amatboy4010

    Be aware of marketing scheme, code,”disruptive inovation”, which assumes that people are poverish and unprogressed, thereby using distractions so that people will not notice bad hardware. This scheme was laid out by clayton christenson and used by reginald fil-aimes.

  • swic11

    I think that analysts also said that the Nintendo Wii was going to fail, and its sold 90 million+ so far?

  • Mike

    Why would anyone think that generic mobile phone games are hurting game sales. That is an idiotic concept only apple fanboys and 40 year olds and older would dream up. The truth is that the people playing those games on phones were never in the target audience group to begin with. My mom plays angry birds and words with friends. She will never buy a game system. My best friends all have smart phones and play some of the free games. I have never heard, nor probably never will here, them say, “Dude, I’m not getting that new CoD or Kid Icarus because my slate is full playing Zenonia 4″. They will put those crapppy time filling games down to play awesomeness like Zenoblade and Mario Galaxy. The example of portable gaming titles are insanely superior to iOS games and AOS games. Kid Icarus Uprising, Resident Evil Revelations, Tales of the Abyss, Mario 3D Land, Samurai Warriors, effing Pokemon for God Sakes. These are all on Nintendo portables. They are as good as console gams and sell great. Angry birds sold a couple Million digital sales at a buck a piece, New Super Mario Bros sold 40 Million at 45-50 bucks a piece. If you still think Nintendo is on it’s way out, you are mentally ill or writing in hopes to sway other people’s opinions in order to help a company**cough cough,, apple, google… cough cough**

    • alienfish

      Ha! You spelled Xenoblade with a ‘Z’. Anyway, you are right. Gaming in the phone industry isn’t taking anything away from the console market. It may be having an effect on the handheld market though since parents can get them an ipod touch and let them download cheap/free games instead of dropping $40 on almost every 3DS title alongside the expense of the console. the scary part is that console gaming may eventually be ruined by this new generation of kids that are being slowly brainwashed to think that games should cost no more than $10 since they will eventually grow up and scoff at the high prices of console games. I really hope it doesn’t go that way, but I think it is a plausible prediction.

    • Jordan

      I think you are PARTIALLY right. While average console gamer will always buy the very best of the titles released, they will be more reluctant to purchase non-AAA titles as cheaper IOS games can kill a lot of time very cheaply.

      Instead of 8 titles per year, perhaps a gamer will now pick up 4-6 titles.

      Of course, just guessing :)

  • amatboy4010

    The sceme only works once before people stsrt to notice and want better quality. There doesnt need to be an argument, just look at nintendo sales going down and all the bad press they have been getting. Reggie fil aimes get off my nintendo. I want a better machine. We wanted to win.

  • tron:6Rds4

    If you are going to use disruptive technology for game consoles for the unprogressed mass, then one should find a better cpu, gpu, or memory storage design that is more effecient, works just as well but is more inexpensive. So i also do not agree with Regginald Fils-aime use of the term bussiness tactic by downgrading hardware and substituting with gimmicks.

    • tron:6Rds4

      That is refering to nintendo’s choice, but is remained unseen if hardware will appeal to core gamers.

      • tron:6Rds4

        And disruptive technology, does not chevrolet or ford or toyata, any car company make both economic cars and luxury cars? Does not even pc have options for both core and casual. So why not our game consoles? That a person may chose core hardware specs. and also casual.

  • mkdhdh

    ANALYSTS. YOU MIGHT EARN A LOT OF MONEY BY SAYING SHIT BUT DUDE THEY KNOW NOTHING. srsly i’m getting sick and tired of these analyst interviews.

  • Indoctrination

    They really need to change the name of the console the name Wii U does not suit the console at all its just make it sound stupid and confusing.

  • machok

    yeah, the killer feature is not only 3D screen but also software
    why almost analysts doesn’t know how is the difference between games made by nintendo with games like angry bird, etc.
    nintendo handheld and console will never be replaced

  • tanto

    “it doesn’t explain why the Nintendo 3DS, a mobile console, still managed to sell 15 million units in its first 12 months on the market. This is despite the onslaught of competition from iPhones, iPads, etc”

    Correction

    It sold over 17 million in its first 12 months………which would make it the fastest selling nintendo platform ever

    You pitty and ignore analysts, you dont listen to them

  • Chan

    I can’t still don’t understand how analyst can’t understand why 3DS is still selling really well. I think that Sony has done the same mistake.
    In my humble opinion, this is very simple and this is where Sony with his Vita has done a very huge mistake. Indeed mobile phone has become a huge competition to home gaming console and even portable console. Though 3DS still manage to sell more than 15 millions unit! How is that?
    Very simple. audiance for 3DS is a majority of Kids that range from 5 to 12 years old. Between this age, having a mobile is not yet a must have. So parents prefer to buy a cheap console instead of a mobile phone with monhtly payment. This is where Sony has done a huge mistake. They were aiming for Adult market with high end technology, but this is straigh in the market of apple and android! You think Vita is powerful? you’ll see within 6 month, mobile will be even more powerful …
    Basically, analyst can say anything about the WiiU i just don’t trust this people as they are only speculating. These were the same speculating that Wii will not sell well because of its unimpressive graphics… strange, it seems that Wii did better than Xbox360 and PS3!
    Analyst are just bunch of people paid by specific company just to predict negative future…. Just dont listen to them…

    • alienfish

      I’m having some trouble believing the audience for 3DS is just a bunch of kids. Two reasons for this: I know a lot more people my age that own them than kids and parents could just as easily buy an iPod touch and save a bundle on games by just buying the cheap ones. 3DS has a wider audience than what you are saying.

  • Matt

    I don’t care how well it sells all I care about is that the system itself will be able to compete with the next Sony and Microsoft system hardware-wise and doesn’t lag as far as the Wii did in this generation and that it has a good library of games.